Market outlook
Rising Outlook 7/10
The market trend is rising due to increasing demand for Japanese 1st Edition Holo cards and the extreme scarcity of top-grade copies (1 graded 10). As collectors seek rare variants, prices for this card are expected to climb[2][1].
Next months. Next 3–6 months: Prices for raw copies may stabilize around $30–$40, while graded 10 copies could reach $120–$130 due to limited supply[5][6].
Long term. 1–3 years: Graded copies (graded 10, graded 10) are expected to increase significantly, potentially reaching $150–$200 as the market for Japanese 1st Edition holo cards continues to grow[2].
History
Dragonite is a final-stage Dragon-type Pokémon, evolved from Dragonair. It is known for its gentle nature despite its immense power, capable of flying at speeds comparable to a jet and breathing fire hotter than molten lava. In the Pokémon universe, it is a beloved and iconic creature often featured in anime and games as a symbol of loyalty and strength[1][4].
This card was first released in 2012 as part of the Japanese Black & White: Thunder Knuckle set, specifically as card #040/051 in the 1st Edition Holofoil variant[1][2].
- The card features Dragonite as a Stage 2 Pokémon with 150 HP and a Dragon x2 weakness[4].
- Only 6 graded 10 Pristine copies of this specific card have been graded, with just 1 currently in the population, indicating extreme scarcity for top grades[2].
- The card is a 1st Edition Holofoil, a rare variant that adds significant collectibility over regular editions[1][3].
Rarity and print run
- Tier
- Ultra Rare
- Print run
- Low
- First printed in
- Japanese Black & White: Thunder Knuckle (BW8)
- Demand
- High
- Supply
- Scarce
- Only 1 graded 10 Pristine copy graded out of 6 total, indicating extreme scarcity for top grades[2].
- 1st Edition Holofoil variant is rare compared to regular editions[1][3].
- Japanese 2012 Black & White set has a low print run, with Thunder Knuckle being a niche sub-set[1].
Collector notes
Condition. Key flaws to check include centering, edge wear, hinge marks, and holofoil scratches. For holo cards, ensure the foil is intact and not worn, especially on the head and body of Dragonite. Common issues include whitening on edges and minor creases from handling[1][3].
Storage. Store in a rigid top loader or semi-rigid sleeve to prevent bending. Keep in a cool, dry environment away from direct sunlight to avoid holo fading. Use a card vault or safe for long-term storage to protect against humidity and physical damage[2].
Authenticity. Fakes often have incorrect font, poor color saturation, or misaligned borders. Authentic 1st Edition cards have the clear '1st Edition' stamp on the bottom left. Verify the Pokémon's HP and stage match official data (150 HP, Stage 2). Check for the correct graded population count (1 of 6) if grading[2][4].
Sources: sportscardinvestor.com, fanaticscollect.com, pokenola.com, tcgplayer.com, pricecharting.com